How it works

The journey

Day 14 of 30. The campaign is falling behind.

Follow NOVA X1 as AfterBid finds what changed, checks the possible causes, recommends the fix, waits for a person to approve it, then measures the result and keeps the lesson.

  • NOVA X1 is a fictional campaign, used to demonstrate product behaviour
  • Scroll through it, or stop and it plays on

Example campaign

NOVA X1 Flagship Launch

  • NOVA Mobile
  • £180,000
  • 30 days
  • Display and video
NOVA X1 spend against plan, days 1 to 28 Delivery tracks the plan for four days, then falls behind. On day 14 it is £67,200 against £84,000 planned. After the approved change on day 15 it recovers to £165,900 of £168,000 by day 28, on two paths: changed supply and an unchanged comparison. Day 1714212830 Plan £180,000 Planned £84,000 Delivered £67,200, 20% behind Day 15: approved, floor £11.00 to £9.50 Day 9: page change observed Changed supply £3.65 per engaged visit Unchanged comparison £4.08
Fictional campaign used to demonstrate product behaviour.
Days 1 to 14

One campaign, followed from the first day.

NOVA Mobile launched its X1 flagship with £180,000 over 30 days, across display and video. The plan is £6,000 a day.

Find Day 14

See what actually arrived.

Two weeks in, the campaign has delivered £67,200 against £84,000 planned. It is 20% behind plan.

Planned
£84,000
Delivered
£67,200
Behind plan
20% £16,800 short
  • Display96.7% of plan
  • Video55.0% of plan
  • Cost per engaged visit£4.48 against a £4.00 target
  • Publisher observationTech review pages added ad units and switched refresh on
Diagnose

Five possible causes. The evidence supports one.

Video is where the budget is being lost. Each possible cause is checked against the delivery signals and the publisher observation.

  1. Not supportedQualified supply availability

    41.6M bid requests reached the main video deal. The supply is there. Delivery signals

  2. Not supportedPublisher or environment change

    The video placements on the deal’s domains are unchanged since launch. Publisher observation

  3. SupportedDeal economics or competition

    57% of eligible video bids came in below the £11.00 floor. Delivery signals

  4. Insufficient evidenceBuyer bidding or pacing

    Bids are arriving. Bid and pacing settings sit in the buyer’s DSP, where AfterBid cannot see them. Delivery signals, partial

  5. Not supportedQuality or suitability gates

    6.00M of 6.18M video bids were eligible. The gates are not holding delivery back. Delivery signals

Diagnosis

The floor is turning eligible bids away.

The supply and the bids are there. The £11.00 floor on the main video deal is the cause the evidence supports.

Recommend

Evidence in. Decision out.

Each recommendation goes to the owner who controls the change, with the evidence behind it.

Media operator

REC-202Lower the main video floor from £11.00 to £9.50.

35% of eligible bids sit between £9.50 and £10.99. Delivery signals

Applied in the connected platform once approved.

REC-201Move budget toward creator and photography media.

Creator media cost £2.31 a visit. Tech reviews cost £4.94, on pages that now carry more ads. Delivery signals Publisher observation

Run as a test. 10% of budget stays on the launch mix.

Buyer / DSP

REC-205Raise video pacing to £3,345 a day.

Video has £53,520 left to spend in 16 days. Delivery signals

Routed to the buyer, who makes the change in the DSP.

Approve

Agents suggest. You approve. The PMP updates.

Nothing changes until a person approves it. The media operator approves two changes. The third goes to the buyer.

Waiting for the media operator.Approved by the media operator, day 15, 10:32.

Change Day 15

The deal changes. The campaign carries on.

At 10:40 the floor moves to £9.50. 90% of budget moves onto the changed supply, and 10% stays on the launch mix as the comparison.

Measure Days 15 to 28

Show what changed, then carry it forward.

Both paths get the floor fix. Only the supply differs. Changed supply cost £3.65 per engaged visit, the unchanged comparison £4.08. Spend reached £165,900 of £168,000 planned.

  1. ImprovedCost per engaged visit

    £3.65 against £4.08. 11% lower.

  2. No material changeMeasured viewability

    80.5% against 80.1%. 0.4 points higher.

  3. Insufficient evidenceCost per pre-order

    £43.16 against £47.68. Too few pre-orders in the comparison to call it.

  4. WorseGaming video test

    £7.83 a visit against a £4.00 target. Ended. That result is kept too.

The honest number

Plan on 11%, not 48%.

In the launch data, creator media looked 48% cheaper than average. Measured against the comparison, the gain was 11%. That is the number carried forward.

Remember

Optimisation that leaves a memory.

  1. What happened

    Engaged visits were costing £4.48 against a £4.00 target.

  2. What AfterBid found

    Creator media at £2.31 a visit. Tech reviews at £4.94.

  3. What was recommended

    Move budget toward creator and photography media.

  4. Who decided

    Media operator. Approved as a test, day 15, 10:32.

  5. What changed

    90% of budget moved, day 15, 10:40. 10% held unchanged.

  6. What happened afterwards

    Improved. £3.65 against £4.08 per engaged visit.

  1. Kept, whatever it shows

    The record joins everything else the campaign has learned, including a failed gaming video test and a month 2 change that was reverted.

  2. Carried forward

    Every decision makes the next plan sharper. Supply learning is reusable. Bids and outcomes stay with that advertiser.

Carried into the next plan

  • Creator and photography media first
  • Video floor at £9.50
  • Gain planned at 11%

Keep exploring

  1. 02Publisher supply

    Explore publisher supply

    See how AfterBid inspects publisher pages, identifies ad slots and develops a broader understanding of publisher supply.

  2. 03The technology

    Explore the technology

    See how AfterBid brings data together, supports intelligent recommendations and keeps people in control.

See it work. On a campaign of your own.

A walkthrough follows one campaign through AfterBid, from the first delivery signal to the stored result.